Monday, 26 November 2012

STOCK MARKET UPDATE: 27.11.2012



STOCK:
Karachi Stocks Up 25.98 Points:
KARACHI, Nov 26: At the close of trading, the KSE-100 index was at 16263.57, up 25.98 points.
(Today Market 64.64 Up @ 12.51 pm)

November 26, 2012
 5 TOP GAINERS  &  LOOSERS:

Bata (Pak)
Rs 71.00
Indus Motor Com
Rs (10.11)
Colgate Palmoli
Rs 50.00
Gillette Pak
Rs (5.70)
Island Textile
Rs 37.50
Exide (Pak)
Rs (4.91)
Sanofi-Aventis
Rs16.24
Al-Ghazi Tractor
Rs (3.47)
Bhanero Tex
Rs 13.08
Philip Morris
Rs (2.22)
Stocks add 32 points on selective buying
KARACHI, Nov 26: Stocks closed higher on Monday, but still below its all time high, as investors bought cement and textile shares on hopes of healthy payouts and increase in local and international demand, dealers said.
The KSE 100-share index ended 0.20 per cent, or 32.89 points higher at 16,270.48 points.
It made an intra-day high at 16,311.03 points, but still lower than its all time peak of 16,339.03 points made last week. Volume also rose to 260.2m shares, compared with 251.52m shares traded on Friday, as investors took fresh positions.
Trading value, however, decreased to Rs3.67bn from Rs3.71bn in the previous trading session and market capitalisation stood at Rs4.084 trillion, compared with Friday’s Rs4.071tr.
“Stocks closed higher amid increased activity lead by second tier stocks in cement, textile and banking sectors on strong valuations,” said Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Ltd.
Dealers said investors accumulated shares from cement and textile sectors on relatively cheap valuations and on hopes of good returns.
Another trigger for the market could be a possible rate cut in the discount rate in the upcoming monetary policy which is due to be announced in December.
Most analysts are expecting a cut of at least 50 basis points.
But there are still some “concerns on gas supply, economic and financial front and political front, and caution is likely to persist in case of deterioration on mentioned issues in the local equity market,” said Hasnain Asghar Ali COO of Escorts Capital.
Foreign investors bought shares worth a net $962,243 on Monday, compared with $648,533 on Friday, bringing the total net buying for this month to $28.9m. But companies were the major sellers with equity worth $3.23m.
The market capitalisation based KSE 30-index also ended higher as it rose 0.20pc, or 26.18 points, to 13,197.47 points.
Out of the 386 companies traded, the value of 248 increased, 123 decreased, while 15 remained unchanged.
The biggest gainer for the day was Bata Pakistan which rose by Rs71 to Rs1,491 followed by Colgate Palmolive which ended higher by Rs50 at Rs1,300.
Among the declining scrips, Indus Motor Co gave up Rs10.11 to Rs261.31 and Gillette Pakistan was down by Rs5.7 to Rs108.3.
The volume leader among the ten-top briskly traded shares was Summit Bank which reported a huge turnover of 29.37m shares, though the price at the close showed a marginal rise of 2 paisa at Rs3.02. Fauji Cement ended 6 paisa higher at 7.03 on 17.25m shares and Maple Leaf Cement, another small investors’ delight, added 97 paisa to close at Rs16.44 on 17.18m shares.
Pervez Ahmed third-tier scrip also came up for trading yet again on Monday with a gain of 25 paisa to Rs3.98 on 12.02m shares, DG Khan Cement fell 7 paisa to Rs53.44 on 10.09m shares and Amtex Ltd gained 41 paisa to close at Rs3.5 on 8.25m shares.
Dewan Salman ended 16 paisa higher at Rs2.50 on 7.2m shares, Dewan Farooque rose 60 paisa to end at Rs4.09 on 5.93m shares and Pace Pakistan closed up 4 paisa at Rs3.24 on 5.85m shares.
Dewan Cement rose 22 paisa to Rs5.27 on turnover of 5.73m shares.

Textile sector stirs into life at KSE
KARACHI, Nov 26: Textile sector stocks have assumed prominence at the Karachi Stock Exchange where a wave of buying has propelled prices to highs not seen, perhaps in decades.
More than 30 stocks on the sector (composite, spinning, weaving) hit their ‘upper circuit’ in trading last Friday. The ‘upper/lower circuit’ is the maximum of Re1 or 5 per cent of the opening price of a stock, at which the rise or fall of scrip value a single day trading, is capped.
The mechanism allows ‘cooling’ effect lest an over-enthusiastic crowd of buyers or panicky investors spiral the price of a share up or down beyond reasonable limits. But the phenomenon of stocks hitting the ‘top’ is conspicuous by its presence in slow measure for most of the trading days since July.
“Now the bulls are all over the sector, tossing up prices of whichever stock they can lay their horns under,” says a trader.
Savvy investors, however, are looking at the company fundamentals before taking a leap.
As investors charge into the textile stocks head foremost, a back of he envelope calculation of turnover of shares in the sector looks like having crossed a record 2.5 billion since Jan this year. The scale of trading can be judged by the fact that it is higher than the turnover in same period, in the heavy-weight oil and gas sector; automobiles; electricity and insurance (life & non-life), combined.
Yet most analysts believe — as the fictional detective Sherlock Homes would say: “There is a method in this madness.”
Some of the strong positives that have rejuvenated stock prices in textile sector have been identified as: healthy core business; depreciation of (around 9 per cent) in the value of the rupee against major currencies; stable cotton prices; low inter-corporate debt scenario; approval of the agreement from European Union; and higher dividend income from subsidiaries.
The latest financial figures have triggered investors’ interest. The spinning sector revenue was recorded at Rs54.6 billion for the first quarter financial year 2013 (1QFY13), representing 5 per cent growth, from Rs52.2 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year.
Gross profit for the sector rose by a massive 124 per cent to Rs6.2 billion, from Rs2.8 billion during the quarter. Therefore, gross margin improved to 11.3 per cent in 1QFY13 from 5.3 per cent in the same period last year.
Analyst Abdul Azeem at brokerage InvestCap says: “The main reason for the jump in gross margins is the 10 per cent year-on-year (YoY) lower cotton prices during July-Sept 2012. Moreover, on local front better yarn prices provided a breather to the sector”.
On international front, demand of yarn from China, Hong Kong and Taiwan shot up as those countries turned to importing lower value inputs like yarn and grey cloth from Pakistan (and other yarn producing countries) to save on heavier labour costs and instead concentrate on production of finished garments.
Analyst noted that the textile exports were up by 5 per cent to $4.4 billion in July-Oct 2012 due mainly due to giant leap in export of yarn. The local spinning industry managed full capacity utilisation resulting in economies of scale.
At the operating level, the spinning segment’s operating profit recorded impressive growth of 239 per cent YoY to Rs4.5bn in 1QFY13. Financial charges of the sector shrank by 6 per cent YoY to Rs1.7bn in 1QFY13 as compared to Rs1.8bn in the same period last year.
In consequence, the bottom line of the spinning sector converted to a huge profit of Rs1.9bn in 1QFY13 from net loss of Rs1.4bn in the corresponding period last year.
Other textile segments, ready made garments, cotton clothes and towels also grew by 15 per cent YoY, 8 per cent YoY and 7 per cent YoY respectively.
Analyst Bilal Qamar commented: “During 1QFY13, the textile sector witnessed improved profitability on account of better sector dynamics, although power outages continued to restrict the growth. Consequently the textile sector has outperformed the stock market by 7 per cent (upto Nov 15), from July 1 this year”.

Outflow exceeds FDI in July-Nov
KARACHI, Nov 26: The repatriation of dividends and interest income outpaced the inflow of investments made by the foreigners in the first four months of this fiscal year putting further pressure on already dwindling foreign exchange reserves amid looming debt repayments to the IMF.
Latest data of the State Bank showed that the country received a total foreign direct investment of $244 million while foreigners repatriated $260 million during July-November period of 2012-13.
A senior currency dealer in the interbank market termed the situation grim as the rupee hit the record low against the US currency on Monday.
Atif Ahmed, the dealer said the rupee was falling fast against the major currencies reflecting the weak back up that may improve with rising forex reserves. However, he did not find any reason for improvement in the reserves.
The dollar was traded as high as Rs96.22 in the interbank market on Monday while in the open market the price of greenback surged to Rs97.15.
The State Bank reported that the repatriation of dollars was higher than the investment made in the country during the period under review.
Details showed the highest payment was made on financial business (banks) that rose to $89.7 million during the July-November period compared to just $24 million the same period last year.
It shows the banks and financial institutions including foreign banks have been earning well in the country while rest of the world is hostile to banking.
However, banks’ biggest client is the government which created enormous opportunity for banks to earn risk-free profits by investing into government papers.
The second highest payment was made by the petroleum refining sector which repatriated an amount equal to $76 million against $70 million paid during the same period of last year.
Power sector registered disinvestment, though it was much lower than last year. In the four months of previous year the disinvestment in the power sector (thermal) was $42 million while it was just minus $3.6 million this year. The repatriation of interest income and dividends fell sharply to $9.6 million against $53.7 million in the same period last year.
The largest disinvestments in telecommunication sector continued which badly hit the income on this sector. The sector witnessed a disinvestment of $102 million in the first four months while last year it recorded a disinvestment of $112 million.
This situation drastically reduced the repatriated money of interest and dividends. Last year repatriated amount was $35.7 million while it fell to just $5.4 million in the four months.
Company news:
Linde wins contract: FRANKFURT, Nov 26: German industrial gas giant Linde said on Monday it had won a contract to build a liquefied natural gas (LNG) plant in Malaysia.
Linde did not reveal the size of the contract from Malaysia’s national oil and gas company Petronas for what it described as a “mid-scale” plant but industry sources said it was worth an estimated 200-300 million euros ($259-389 million).—AFP

MOHAMMED SALEEM MANSOORI

Thursday, 22 November 2012

STOCK MARKET UPDATE:23.11.2012



STOCK:
Karachi Stocks Up 30.85 Points:
KARACHI, Nov 22: At the close of trading, the KSE-100 index was at 16264.04, up 30.85 points.
 (Today Market is 2.82 Down @ 11.35 am)

November 22, 2012
 5 TOP GAINERS  &  LOOSERS:

Unilever Pak
Rs 53.33
IGI Insurance
Rs (6.02)
Bhanero Textile
Rs 11.86
Island Textile
Rs (4.73)
Sanofi Aventis
Rs 9.99
Allied Rent
Rs (1.87)
Indus Motor Co
Rs 9.50
American Life
Rs (1.65)
Sunrays Textile
Rs 7.84
Millat Tractors
Rs (1.56)
Equity market enters consolidation phase
KARACHI, Nov 22: Shares at the stock market continued to consolidate at the current high levels on Thursday.
The KSE-100 index saw minor gain of 17.82 points to 16,251.01 points in cautious trade with investors spooked by the law and order situation and fearful of a possibility of gory incidents on 9th and 10th Muharram, when the market would be closed.
As institutional investors kept watch from the sidelines, retail investors leapt from one to the other low-priced stock in the hope of making day trading gains. Thus, the index moved in a narrow band between the day’s lowest 16,220 points and highest 16,283 points; the latter far below the all-time best touched a day earlier at 16,339 points.
The turnover improved to 231 million shares on Thursday, from 205 million shares traded the day earlier; but record of 330 million shares that changed hands on Tuesday would continue to remain intact for sometime, traders said.
Trading value on Thursday increased to Rs4.157 billion, from Rs3.564 billion. Market capitalisation edged higher to Rs4.071 trillion, from Rs4.062 trillion.
Foreign investors bought net $1.36 million worth equity, up from net purchases at $0.183 million the day earlier. Aggregate foreign portfolio investment during the month rose to $27.3 million.
Among local players, banks made $2.24 million worth equity investment on Thursday.
Most traders said that the market lacked interest in main board stocks, though side board (second and third tier) stocks continued to lure interest.
Noticeable on the news flow front was the payment by Pakistan, the seventh installment worth $394.3 million of Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) programme to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
The World Bank has estimated the flow of remittances to Pakistan at $14 billion in 2012—one of the top ten recipients in the world.
According to the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Pakistan’s trade deficit declined by a marginal 6.79 per cent to $6.44 billion in the first four months of current fiscal year from $6.90 billion in the corresponding period last fiscal year.
Equity dealer Samar Iqbal stated that the activity on Thursday was confined towards mid cap cement and textile stocks as investors remained cautious on account of deteriorating law and order situation.
Major auto stocks closed at their upper cap after ECC decreased imported car age limit. Engro Corp also rose by Rs1.25 amid hope of restoration of gas supply.
Analyst, Ahsan Mehanti observed that the stocks closed higher in the lead of second tier stocks in cement, textile and oil sectors on strong valuations. The textile sector, which was in the limelight following record exports again, saw some strong gains.
Yet the investor sentiment was affected by uncertainty in global stocks.
Out of the 370 stocks that came up for trading, 263 were gainers; 83 losers and 24 finished unchanged.
The biggest gain for the day was noted in Unilever Pak, up by Rs53.33 to Rs9,650, followed by Bhanero Textile, which added Rs11.86 to close at Rs249.16.
The declining issues were led by IGI Insurance, down Rs6.02 to Rs114.55. Island Textile conceded Rs4.73 on Thursday to end at Rs716.97.
On the 10-top volume leaders’ list Fauji Cement saw turnover in 35m shares with the stock up by 27 paisa to Rs6.97. Maple Leaf Cement rose 99 paisa to Rs15.24 on16m shares; Jah.Sidd.Co was down by 44 paisa to Rs15.64 on 14m shares.
Byco Petroleum hit the maximum Re 1 to Rs10.52 on 14m shares; Azgard Nine added 40 paisa to Rs8.68 on 10m shares; Nishat Mills rose by Rs1.55 to Rs63.27 on 6m shares; Amtex Limited edged higher by 34 paisa to Rs2.86 on 5m shares; Engro Corporation recovered 92 paisa to Rs95.05 on 5m shares; Quice Food was up by 58 paisa to Rs11 on 5m shares and Colony Mills hit the upper circuit of Re1 to Rs4.95 on 5m shares.
MOHAMMED SALEEM MANSOORI

Wednesday, 21 November 2012

STOCK MARKET UPDATE: 22.11.2012



STOCK:
Karachi Stocks Up 5.18 Points:
KARACHI, Nov 21: At the close of trading, the KSE-100 index was at 16256.97, up 5.18 points. 
(Today Market is 24.17 Up @ 11.51 am)

November 21, 2012
 5 TOP GAINERS  &  LOOSERS:

Island Textile
Rs 34.36
Bata (Pak)
Rs (27.50)
Bhanero Tex.
Rs 11.30
Indus Dyeing
Rs (11.07)
Millat Tractors
Rs 10.96
Murree Brewery
Rs (7.62)
Colgate Palmolive
Rs 10.00
IGI Insurance
Rs (6.34)
Siemens Pakistan
Rs 10.00
Wyeth Pak
Rs (5.00)

Stocks lose 19 points in cautious trade

KARACHI, Nov 21: Stocks ended lower on Wednesday on continued profit-selling as the market was still hovering close to its all-time high and also the investors were said to be cautious due to the deteriorating law and order situation in the country’s financial hub.
The KSE 100-share index ended 0.11 per cent, or 18.60 points lower at 16,233.19 points. The index hit a historic high at 16,339.03 points. But volume fell to 205.3 million shares, compared with 330.35 million shares traded on Tuesday, as investors stayed on the sidelines.
Trading value decreased by over Rs3 billion to Rs3.56 billion from Rs6.67 billion a day earlier and market capitalisation stood at Rs4.061 trillion, compared with Tuesday’s Rs4.062 trillion.
“The KSE-100 index shed 11 points to close at 16,257 points with market trading in a narrow range. Volumes were biased towards third tier stocks particularly cement and textile sector scrips, with investors preferring to book profit in the latter.
Amongst the blue chips, Engro was a notable gainer on expectation of additional gas supply,” said Raza Jafri, head of research at AKD Securities Ltd.Apart from Maple Leaf Cement, most other cement stocks were under pressure as investors squared their positions following gains in previous days.
Maple Leaf was in the limelight after a report that suggested an improvement in its earnings.
“Our analysis suggests that Maple Leaf, with higher degree of total leverage (DTL), earnings growth will be higher than its peers,” said Farhan Mahmood from Topline Securities Ltd.
“Law and order situation on domestic front and Middle East warfare on international front cannot be ignored keeping in view local and regional stability, however expectations of further cut in interest rate will keep low multiples and high yields, turnaround stories an attraction for the local and off-shore participants,” said Hasnain Asghar Ali from Escorts Capital.
Foreign investors bought shares worth a net $183,284 on Wednesday, compared with $3.7 million the previous day, bringing the total net buying for this month to $25.92 million. But mutual funds were the major sellers with equity worth $1.92 million.
The market capitalisation based KSE 30-index also ended lower as it shed 0.27 per cent, or 35.57 points, to close at 13,201.18 points.
Out of the 370 companies traded, the value of 179 increased, 163 decreased, while 28 remained unchanged.
The biggest gainers and losers were as follows: on the plus side, Island Textile was up by Rs34.36 to Rs721.70, followed by Bhanero Textile, which was up by Rs11.30 to Rs237.30. On the declining side, Bata Pakistan lost Rs27.5 to Rs1,352.50 and Indus Dyeing decreased by Rs11.07 to Rs538.91.
The list of volume leaders included mainly middle to third tier shares: KESC was up 51 paisa to Rs6.16 on 36.53 million shares, Fauji Cement fell 0.07 paisa to Rs6.7 on 23.69 million shares and Jahangir Siddiqui Co ltd ended 23 paisa higher at Rs16.10 on 12.3 million shares.
Maple Leaf Cement rose 30 paisa to Rs14.25 on 9.25 million shares, Azgard Nine ended 2 paisa higher at Rs8.28 on 9.1 million shares and Byco Petroleum rose 38 paisa to Rs9.58 on 7.67 million shares.
Worldcall Telecom gained 13 paisa to Rs2.83 on 7.18 million shares. JS Bank Ltd shed 24 paisa to Rs5.7 on 4.9 million shares and Quice Food ended 39 paisa lower at Rs10.42 on 4.63 million shares.
Kohinoor Ind gained 35 paisa to end at Rs3.56 on 4.19 million shares.
 Company news:
TEXTILE: Textile export rebounds: ISLAMABAD, Nov 21: Pakistan’s export of textile and clothing rebounded for the second consecutive month after posting a decline for at least one year.
The increase was mainly driven by a surge in demand from recession-hit key markets of Europe and US, suggested data of Pakistan Bureau of Statistics released here on Wednesday.
In absolute terms, export of textile and clothing witnessed a growth of 10.50pc in October 2012, from a year ago.
The growth in export proceeds in September 2012 was 12.91pc.

The unprecedented growth was mainly driven by substantial increase in export proceeds of readymade garments, towels, and other low value products, like cotton yarn and cotton cloth, etc.
Also export of raw cotton witnessed an increase in October this year over last year.
Experts linked growth in export of value-added products with spillover effect from China and Taiwan’s labour issue as about two or three per cent spillover from China alone was more than enough for Pakistan’s exporters to meet it; the announcement of waiver on 75 products from EU from Nov 15 encouraged European buyers to re-develop contacts in Pakistan. Major European buyers are eying to yield benefits in case EU granted Pakistan GSP plus status in 2014.American buyers also re-establishing
contacts with Pakistan’s textile and clothing exporters after disruption in supply from Egypt.

Export of textile and clothing reached $4.392bn in July-October period this year, up by 4.78pc from $4.192bn over the corresponding period of last year.
As a result of performance of textile and clothing sector, overall exports also witnessed 4.98pc growth in the first four months this year as it stood at $8.202bn this year as against $7.814bn over the corresponding period last year.
A sector-wise analysis showed that export of readymade garments went up by 29.29pc, knitwear 4.37pc and towels 12.27pc in October this year over last year.
Export of low value-added products, like cotton yarn was up by 28.88pc, cotton cloth 16.37pc, yarn other than cotton yarn 228.25pc, tents 17.61pc and other textile material 31.89pc in October this year over same month last year.
Industry sources said persistent supply of gas for five consecutive days in July-October period to textile sector produced the desired results.
The growth in yarn and fabric exports was mainly because of improved energy supply.
The full capacity utilisation of production caused growth in export of home textile — towels and bedwear as well.
This shows that in case of uninterrupted supply of energy, export of textile products would increase manifold.
Similarly, export of raw cotton also increased by 23.06pc in October this year. Cotton production is expected to increase this year following arrival of new crop in the market. Cotton crop arrival has started since October.
Contrary to this, over 22pc increase was also witnessed in terms of rupee owing to its depreciation against the dollar in the past few months, indicating that the fall in the health of rupee supported Pakistani textile and clothing products to penetrate in the international markets.
In October, exports witnessed a growth of over 21pc which clearly indicates that depreciation helped export proceeds to compete with other countries products.
At the same time, there was a 13.14pc increase in import of machinery in the value-added sector to increase quality and capacity of production. This indicates that local manufacturers were also expanding their production capacity.
Attock Petroleum eyes Chevron’s assets: KARACHI, Nov 21: The Board of Attock Petroleum Limited (APL) has decided to conduct due diligence in as it looks toward the possibility of buying Chevron’s downstream fuel assets in Pakistan and Egypt.
“The decision to participate in the proposed acquisition or not and other formalities, terms and conditions will be finalized subject to satisfactory completion of due diligence and Board of Director’s approval” the company stated in a notice released at the Karachi Stock Exchange early Wednesday.
An oil sector analyst said that Chevron Pakistan Limited (formerly Caltex Oil Pakistan Limited) is a part of Chevron Corporation, one of the leaders in the global integrated energy business. Chevron is headquartered in San Ramon California.
Following the merger of its parent companies – Chevron and Texaco – in 2001 and subsequent change of the parent company’s name from Chevron Texaco to Chevron in 2005, Caltex Oil Pakistan Limited was renamed as Chevron Pakistan Limited in 2006.
The company has operated in the sub-continent since 1938. It is presently engaged in the Fuels, Lubricants, CNG and LPG
business in Pakistan. The company is marketing its products and services under the Caltex master brand.

Chevron Corporation was believed to be mulling sale of downstream assets in Egypt, Pakistan and Australia, since March this year. Downstream assets consist of refining, marketing and retail sales outlets.
The news was greeted at the Karachi stock exchange on Wednesday with lukewarm investor interest. Some activity was witnessed in the Attock group companies but the expensive Attock Petroleum stock itself rose by just 1 per cent or Rs5.89 to Rs504.56 on a negligible turnover of 12,700 shares.
MOHAMMED SALEEM MANSOORI